Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 14.879858 16.756282 18.795196 21.177963 23.889673 26.883709 30.445507
2025-03-16 11.990618 14.459121 17.344647 20.977423 25.444047 30.775792 37.651441
2025-03-23 10.270715 13.160092 16.764789 21.617877 28.020061 36.230759 47.644865
2025-03-30 8.691619 11.756936 15.811102 21.611363 29.771731 40.953983 57.628082
2025-04-06 7.293962 10.356288 14.624586 21.076980 30.704783 44.728653 67.051440
2025-04-13 6.244123 9.265140 13.682383 20.707199 31.776906 48.848686 77.752005
2025-04-20 5.621372 8.695317 13.398502 21.248890 34.285796 55.535295 93.748804
2025-04-27 5.125841 8.241099 13.213328 21.898563 37.055246 63.096827 112.723538
2025-05-04 4.640205 7.728779 12.853570 22.189270 39.250538 70.048470 132.044876
2025-05-11 4.110295 7.066845 12.147058 21.760386 40.083543 74.691806 147.978352
2025-05-18 3.672896 6.504753 11.532646 21.394101 40.954003 79.527681 165.282643
2025-05-25 3.310353 6.028305 11.005216 21.103895 41.909095 84.671155 184.306949
2025-06-01 3.015722 5.648823 10.623775 21.074380 43.459101 91.472848 208.936725
2025-06-08 2.750182 5.291368 10.238158 20.980340 44.868390 98.268109 235.275069
2025-06-15 2.599667 5.140368 10.239524 21.696871 48.181187 109.981648 276.638958
2025-06-22 2.400590 4.865741 9.952399 21.743244 49.984221 118.546690 312.198183
2025-06-29 2.177035 4.512681 9.454974 21.241190 50.404936 123.837819 340.337788
2025-07-06 1.992512 4.220478 9.051034 20.892760 51.138454 130.066282 372.821726
2025-07-13 1.895460 4.107911 9.030340 21.457172 54.294280 143.344341 430.076211
2025-07-20 1.813293 4.018613 9.050672 22.126271 57.855571 158.516064 497.809121
2025-07-27 1.714132 3.878348 8.933881 22.429083 60.481946 171.610583 562.800403
2025-08-03 1.580913 3.642686 8.559578 22.001218 60.975838 178.505307 608.665976
2025-08-10 1.464136 3.433692 8.225960 21.634665 61.589756 185.931378 658.885244